Marquette vs. UConn prediction, odds, line: 2022 college basketball picks, Feb. 8 best bets from proven model

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The 18th-ranked Golden Eagles will face the 24th-ranked Connecticut in Big East Conference action on Tuesday night. The Golden Eagles have won eight of their last nine games, with the only loss in that stretch coming against first-place Providence. Following a five-game winning streak, the Huskies have lost two in a row. The first meeting of the season between the two teams took place in Milwaukee. The all-time series is tied at six, with Connecticut holding a 4-2 edge in games.

The game is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. The over-under for total points scored is set at 141.5 in the latest odds for the game. Check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model before making any picks.

Every college basketball game is projected by the SportsLine Projection Model. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. People who have followed it have seen huge returns.

The model locked in its picks and CBB predictions for the upcoming games. You can see the model’s picks on SportsLine. Bettors can find the college basketball odds and betting lines.

The spread is -7 for the game.
The over-under is 141 points.
The money line for the game is Marquette +200 and the University of Connecticut -300.
The Golden Eagles are 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games.
In their last 10 Tuesday games, the Huskies are 8-2 against the spread.
Why the University of Connecticut can cover.

Six players are better than 7 points for the Huskies. R.J. Cole had 25 points and four assists in the loss at Villanova. He has scored in double-figures in four of the last five games and in two of the last three. Cole had 20 points and seven assists in the first meeting against Marquette. Cole is scoring 16.4 points, 4.5 assists, 3.9 rebound and 1.5 steals per game for the season. He is connecting on his free throws.

Adama Sanogo is a sophomore. Sanogo has reached double-figure scoring in seven of his last eight games. He has four double-doubles on the season, and scored a season-high 30 points in a double-overtime win over auburn. He averages 14.9 points, 8.1 rebound and 2.2 blocks per game, and is shooting 53.0% from the floor.

Why Marquette is able to cover.

The Golden Eagles have been on a tear and are within striking distance of the top spot in the Big East. The reason for that is because of a redshirt freshman. He leads the Golden Eagles in scoring and is also the leader in assists and steals. He has reached double-figure scoring in each of the last nine games, including a 33 point performance in a 73-63 win at Seton Hall. In the first game against the University of Connecticut, he had five double-doubles and 20 points.

The graduate transfer guard is also powerful. He has averaged 13 points, 3.5 rebound, 2.6 assists and 1.1 steals per game. He is connecting on 45.1 percent of his field goals, including 37.8 percent from 3-point range, and 81% of his free throws. He had a 15-point performance against the other team. He scored 26 points against New Hampshire in November and against Seton Hall in January.

How to make a decision between the two teams.

SportsLine’s model is leaning towards the total. It has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins the game? Which side of the spread does the most damage in simulations? The advanced model of the college basketball picks has gone up more than $2,300 in the last five years and you can see which side of the spread you want to jump on.

There is a revolving door at the top. The Bears lost at Kansas by a large amount over the weekend. Arizona, which defeated USC on Saturday, is a new No. 1 seed. For now.

The Midwest Regional in Chicago is the closest one to the overall No. 1 seed and I have had them there for as long as I can remember. The South Regional in San Antonio is 100 miles away from the campus.

The process of seeding teams is driven by geography, not just putting teams in order from 1-68, and attempts to put a team in the closest location as long as other rules are not violated. The overall No. 1 seed can choose its location. I don’t know what site the tigers chose, but it is possible they wouldn’t choose Chicago.

The overall No.1 cannot be in the same region as the No. 5 overall seed. That is the reason that Purdue is not in Chicago. That opened the door for Illinois to be the fourth seed in that region. If that were to happen, I’m pretty sure auburn would not be happy about it.

The seeds of bracketsology.

Palm has a full field of 68 teams and all of them are on the bubble.

Providence has mixed results.

The margin-of-victory based metrics don’t care much for Providence and they remain a No. 2 seed in the tournament.

The selection process is not influenced by margin of victory, even though the NCAA selection committee oversaw the creation of the NET. It is very results oriented.

The NET is the only one of the team sheets that is heavily invested in margin of victory. KenPom.com and Sagarin.com are trying to predict point spreads, so MOV matters a lot. It seems that BPI is in that category as well.

Ken Pomeroy told the NCAA that they should not use his rankings because they are not measuring what the NCAA is trying to reward. Many people think they should be the only thing used.

Pomeroy’s probably right since this is a results-oriented process. The margin of victory is one of the metrics on the team sheets, but they are more focused on results.

Which brings me back to Providence. The average ranking of the Friars is 36, but they are ranked third in some of the more results-oriented metrics. I think their resume is more in line with the results oriented metrics.

There are five weeks left until Selection Sunday and those metrics will converge between now and then. If Providence is still in the 30s in the MOV-based metrics, they probably won’t play well enough over the next five weeks to stay that high.

Other teams that the two sets of metrics disagree on include Iowa and Houston.

There is one more thing about margin of victory. Net efficiency is a way to measure margin of victory. The difference in team scores is called the margin of victory. Those statistics correlate very well.

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The college basketball picks are from a proven model.

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images: cbs sports

source: cbs sports

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