Indiana vs. Illinois prediction, odds, line: 2022 college basketball picks, Feb. 5 best bets from proven model

The 18th-ranked Illinois Fighting Illini will play the Indiana Hoosiers in a Big Ten Conference game on Saturday. Five other teams are within two games of Illinois, but the Fighting Illini are the only one with a winning record. The Hoosiers are 13-1 at home this season and are two games back in the race. Indiana has not lost back-to-back games at home to the Fighting Illini since the 2008-09 and 2009-10 seasons.

The game is scheduled to start at noon. Illinois and Indiana both average 77.3 points per game. The game is listed as a pick’em in the latest Illinois vs. Indiana odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 137. Before making any Indiana vs. Illinois picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Every college basketball game is projected by the SportsLine Projection Model. Over the past five years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. People who have followed it have seen huge returns.

The model locked in its picks and CBB predictions for Illinois vs. Indiana. You can see the model’s picks on SportsLine. Bettors can find the college basketball odds and betting lines.

Pick’em: Illinois vs. Indiana.
Illinois and Indiana are over-under by 137 points.
Illinois is -110 against Indiana.
In their last eight Saturday games, the Fighting Illini are 6-1 against the spread.
The Hoosiers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

Indiana can cover.
In his last four games, junior guard Xavier Johnson has reached double-figure scoring in three of them, including a 19-point performance against Penn State. Johnson, who began his collegiate career at Pittsburgh, is currently averaging 10 points, 4.5 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game. He has 1,373 points in his career, and is coming off an eight-point, three-rebound and nine assist game at Maryland. He has scored in double-figures in 10 games.

Miller Kopp has a lot of success against Illinois. In seven games against the Fighting Illini, Kopp scored in double figures in four of them, and in three of them he shot over 50 percent from the 3-point line. In 21 games this season for the Hoosiers, Kopp is averaging 6.5 points, 2.4 rebound and 1.1 assists. He is connecting on his free throws.

Why Illinois is able to cover.

The Fighting Illini have four players scoring in double figures, led by junior center Kofi Cockburn, who is averaging a double-double per game with 22.1 points and 11.6 rebound per game. In the win over Wisconsin, Cockburn poured in 37 points on 16 of 19 shooting from the floor, while pulling down 12 rebound. He has 12 double-doubles of the season. He has 40 in his career and is one away from the Illinois record set by Skip Thoren. Two players nationally average at least 20 points and 10 rebound.

Alfonso Plummer scored a season-high 30 points in a win over Rio Grande Valley. He’s averaged 15.3 points, 2.7 rebound and 1.2 assists for the year, and is a 93.2 percent free-throw shooter. Plummer makes 40.4 percent of his 3-pointers. He leads the Big Ten in 3-pointers made.

How to pick Illinois vs. Indiana.

SportsLine’s model is leaning towards the total with 140 combined points. In almost 60 percent of simulations, it has generated an against-the-spread pick. The model’s picks are only available at SportsLine.
Who will win Indiana vs. Illinois? Which side of the spread hits the most in simulations? You can see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball picks the last five years.

There is a change at the top of the new bracket, like with nearly every other one so far this season.

The Badgers lost at Illinois on Wednesday night, dropping them from a No. 1 seed to a No. 2 seed. The Jayhawks have moved back up to a top seed.

The Jayhawks will play host to the Bears on Saturday in the first of two regular-season meetings.

The seeds of bracketsology.

Palm has a full field of 68 teams and all of them are on the bubble.

What is on an NCAA team sheet?

There was some confusion about what I wrote about on Monday. There were two versions of the team sheets. The one that the selection committee has been using is no longer publicly available, so I thought the other one had replaced it. It was locked down for the committee’s view. I apologize for the confusion.

Conference record and placement do not appear on the committee team sheets and the rankings in five non-NCAA metrics do appear on the team sheets. For a couple of decades, conference record and placement have not been criteria. The committee doesn’t consider anything about a team’s conference during the process. The name of the conference is not included in the team sheets.

The other metrics have been on the team sheets for a while, but were being discussed by the committee during deliberations before they were officially added to the sheet.

The NCAA provided an example of the information on the team sheets the selection committee uses.


Click here to enlarge

The NET and other rankings are at the top of the line. These aren’t used to make decisions. The committee doesn’t compare the NET rankings of a couple of teams to determine which should be selected. If the information in the more important parts of the resume doesn’t match up with the rankings, a discussion will probably take place.

The answer is usually margin of victory. That is a significant factor in some form or fashion. Most of the others are results-oriented. SOR could be as well. The selection committee doesn’t generally reward margin of victory. If a team is counting on a good ranking alone to get into the tournament, it will be disappointed.

There is a box below the rankings. The strength of schedule rankings is important, but the road record is as well. The strength of a team’s schedule is one of the things being judged. It’s not unusual for a team on the bubble to be left out of the tournament because of a poor non-conference schedule.

The committee wants to see that teams can perform well away from home. The neutral site games are not listed in that box.

The box below that has the record in those games on it. This is a good starting point for comparing teams. The devil is in the details.

The most important part of a team’s resume is the actual games and results. This is where the comparisons can be made between the different opponents. The Quad 1 list is divided into two parts. The Quad 2 box has a division as well, but there are no games in the second part of Q2, so no line is drawn. Quads 3 and 4 are not the same.

This will probably be the last time you see a team sheet this season.

Bubble Watch will make its debut on Tuesday. I believe that teams on the bubble are affected by games on a daily basis. The bubble is fairly large this time of year, and teams will go on and off of it as we progress towards Selection Sunday.

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