Grizzlies vs. Magic prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Feb. 5 best bets from model on 62-32 run

The trade deadline is less than three weeks away and All-Star Weekend is less than a month away. The season always goes faster than you think. The playoffs are taking shape. In my opinion, the MVP race is entering play on Friday, February 4th.
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nikola-jokic is a player for the NBA.

I’m sticking with Jokic at the top despite the fact that he’s the new betting favorite. Jokic has been the best player all season. Jokic has been without his second-best player in Jamal Murray all season, so he’s going to be tough to beat with the aid of everyone rooting for him. Michael Porter Jr. only played in nine games.
Jokic’s case rests on the same on-off foundation that has supported it all season: When he’s on the floor, the Nuggets are elite; when he’s off the floor, they’re one of the worst teams of the past 20 years.
The Denver Nuggets are 26.7 points per 100 possessions better with Jokic on the floor compared to when he’s off, according to the Cleaning Glass. The worst offensive and defensive rating in the league would be registered by the Nuggets if Jokic were taken off the floor.
They are just two losses away from a top-four seed in the West, despite missing both Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray for most of the season. Absolutely amazing.
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There is a player page on the CBS Sports website.

The league’s leading scorer has been Embiid, who has scored 31.5 points per game. He’s been even better at 33.5 points per game with the 76ers, slightly better than Jokic’s plus-7.9.
It’s indicative of anMVP run that has really gained traction over the last six weeks as the 76ers have gone 16-5 over their last 21 games, vaulting them into a tie with Miami for the 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference.
The Simmons narrative is going to be important for Embiid if the 76ers continue to win. There’s an overwhelming narrative that says that he has put his cape on. Jokic lost his best friend to bad luck. It feels like he was forgotten.
The last time the media took hold of something like this was when Russell Westbrook won the NBA’s Most Valuable Player award after Kevin Durant left him on his own, and I believe he will get the same benefit of the doubt if the debate remains close.
Only time will tell if that benefit of the doubt will be enough for Embiid to overtake Jokic or if he will hold off Curry or Antetokounmpo. I don’t think Jokic is holding the power of the Embiid momentum off. I don’t agree with merit, but I think it’s going to happen.
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Stephen Curry is a player on the NBA team.

Curry’s odds to win have dropped because of a cold shooting streak that lasted the better part of two months. He may be coming out of it. The Warriors are 18.2 points better per 100 possessions when he’s on the court and 20 for his last 41 from 3.
That is almost double the splits of Antetokounmpo and Embiid. It shows Curry’s huge value even when he’s not making shots. The Warriors have the second-best record in the league and Curry is within striking distance if he heats up the rest of the way and Golden State finishes with the No. 1 seed.
Curry is being punished by himself. The team with the second-best record in the league who has played most of the season without Klay Thompson would be having a career year if anyone else averaged over 25 points per game. It’s Curry’s worst shooting year ever, and the discussion around that is chipping away at his case.
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The player page forgiannis-antetokounmpo is on the CBS Sports website.

If you have Giannis ahead of Curry, Caesars agrees with you. Antetokounmpo is +350 to win his thirdMVP, better than Curry’s +450, due to the fact that he has scored at least 25 points in 17 straight games.
Since returning from a two-week absence on Christmas, Giannis has averaged 31.7 points, 10.9 rebound and 6.2 assists. The last number is telling. His playmaking has become more honest.
The case could be held back by the fact that the Bucks have gone just 10-7 since Christmas. They’re tied with the Cavs for the worst record in the playoffs. The Bucks have been elite when all of their players have been on the court. The Bucks are only plus-1.6 per 100 with a 30th-percentile offense if those two are taken off.
That’s a filthy number with all kinds of context required, but we’re splitting hairs here. Curry’s on-off splits are almost double Antetokounmpo’s as of Friday, and what Jokic and Embiid are doing under similar circumstances is just a little more impressive.
It was [.

There is a player page on the CBS Sports website.

Morant has been great all season, but part of it is recency bias. Since Christmas, Morant is shooting just under 50 percent with a wheelbarrow full of jaw-dropping highlights, which is why the momentum around him has exploded. There isn’t a better player in the league right now. Voters are people.
In Morant’s minutes since Christmas, they’re at plus-8.2, almost identical to the mark in Philly. He looked like he was getting his legs and rhythm back in the two games he played, and that record goes to an impressive 15-4 with a 10-game win streak mixed in.
Morant started opening his eyes. It’s similar to what happened before Morant’s surge. It was all about DeRozan’s clutch scoring. Even if DeRozan is still great, the narrative has died off.
At the end of the day, I just don’t think DeRozan can credibly compete for the award when you’re not sure if he’s the best player on his team, as LaVine has a strong case. Same for Chris Paul. These duos are not going to fare any better if Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant split votes.
Morant is the only star on the team. He is the guy to watch.


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